A Jupiter Media Metrix
survey in US done in June 2001 consisting of 1,911
online music fans has reported that the file sharing technology which enabled
persons to exchange music files free has in fact boosted the demand for CDs.
Out of the target group surveyed, 305 were
experienced in online music sharing. The survey reveals that the service
actually increased the music hearing habit amongst the users and were spending
more than average money on buying of music cassettes.
Thirty four per cent of all peer-to-peer
users said that they spent more money on music than before they used such
services, the report said, while 15 per cent said that they spent less.
One-half said that the amount of money they spent remained the same.
Online music fans who did not use file-sharing services were less likely to
report increased spending. Nineteen per cent said that they spent more money
on music, while 10 per cent said they spent less and 71 per cent said they
spent the same amount.The findings of the survey is in
sharp contrast with the claim of the music companies that their sales have
come down by 5 % last year due to the file sharing technology, and their
aggressive campaign against Napster which effectively closed a popular service
used by more than 20 million subscribers and brought down a part of the
internet economy with it.
Many of the CD distributors tried to introduce their own
file sharing service for a fee without much success and some have adopted Copy
protected CD technology which cannot be played on the Computer and some other
digital devices bringing down the value of such devices.
Now the survey suggests that the music industry was wrong in
attributing the fall inthe sales of music CD s to file sharing technology. The
fall of 5% could have also been the result of economic changes not
directly attributable to the Napster like technologies. Additionally, the
aggressive pursuance of the music industry against Napster has caused its own
damage to the Internet economy as some simple calculations reveal.
If the 20 million subscribers of Napster
had on an average been connected to internet one hour per week, 20 million
internet hours would have been used by them through their respective ISP s.
This itself is worth over Rs 50 crores in Indian rupee value. Along with it,
20 million surfing hours of ad inventory has been lost. This could have
provided roughly a revenue earning of Rs 120 crores by way of online ads.
Besides many more high speed multi media computers would have got sold.
Perhaps the online buying would also have grown.
If we also factor in the possible growth of music
sharing customers and emergence of alternate service providers, the loss to
the Internet economy because of the music industry ban on Napster could be
even higher.
Perhaps, if file sharing technology had grown un hindered, the dot-com bust would have been averted.
Naavi
May 8, 2002
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